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IS BIDEN’S LEAD IN KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES STARTING TO SHRINK?

October 27, 2020

This a quick update on seven key battleground states. In the chart and table below, is a one month comparison of Joe Biden’s average poll lead in these key states.

POLL DATE23-Sep25-Oct
STATEBIDEN LEAD %BIDEN LEAD %
FLORIDA1.5-0.4
WISCONSIN6.95.5
MICHIGAN6.59.4
PENN3.83.8
MINNOSOTA10.26
ARIZONA4.42.4
N. CAROLINA0.70.8
AVERAGE4.863.9

The last two columns are the end dates of each series of surveys. First series is Biden’s lead in seven battleground states completed on September 23. The second series on October 25, a little over one month apart. The chart shows a graphical representation of each state’s changes during this period.

In all seven states, Biden lost on average one percent. The only state he increased his lead was Michigan, where he improved his lead by nearly 3%. And he is still ahead of Trump in the key state of Pennsylvania, at 3%.

He has fallen slightly behind Trump in Florida. In general, however, Biden is holding his own with only one week to go. But its clear that Florida, Pennsylvania, Arizona and North Carolina are still very close and still in play. That’s 75 electoral votes.

Make sure you get a nap on November 3rd, cause it looks like its going to be a long night. Be safe …

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