The Politics Doctor

Jim Kane is the Doctor of Politics

Read my latest articles:

  • The First Quadrennial Florida Mail-In Ballot Awards
    December 8, 2020 With Donald Trump railing about how mail ballots encourage fraud and other insidious crimes associated with the this type of voting method, I would expect that some Republican voters would opt for voting in person, even in the midst a hundred year pandemic. My curiosity led me to rank the counties by […]
  • FLORIDA’S 2016 VOTE VS. 2020: THE MORE THINGS CHANGE THE MORE THEY STAY THE SAME?
    December 7, 2020 After every election, many political pundits conduct the inevitable election autopsy. For winners, it is more about taking credit for the win. For the losers, its not to take the blame at all. This post is neither. I’m just curious how Florida vote changed since 2016. To understand Florida you need to […]
  • THERE IS A BETTER AND MORE ACCURATE WAY TO PREDICT PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS THAN POLLS
    November 24, 2020 OK the polls were generally off again. They underestimated the Trump vote even after all the changes recommended by independent experts since 2016. In the last post, I showed that Trump voters were not candid about who they were voting for on election day, a form of social desirability effect. “The Return […]
  • The Return of the Shy Trump Voter!
    November 16, 2020 I’m sure you have heard or read that the Presidential Election polls screwed up again. Initially I was skeptical, of course, since 2016 almost all polling firms had made significant changes to their methodologies such as weighting voter education. But after all the studies and soul searching, whatever changes that were made […]
  • DR. POLITICS ELECTION PREDICTIONS
    November 2, 2020 Ok, tomorrow is Election Day (thank God). And with caution thrown to the wind, I will make my key state predictions. Using the latest large sample surveys that are available, and the early partisan votes to confirm my intuition. First, the basics: All surveys have must have at least 700 or more […]

“I’ve known Jim Kane for over 30 years and his political insight has always been straight on. I’ve seen him twist more information out of statistical data that is not only unique, but practical as well, and he is always ahead of the curve in political analysis.”

Jim Scott, first Republican to serve as President of the Florida Senate

“Nobody does it better or has a more critical understanding of politics than Jim Kane. His empirical analysis of politics always challenges the accepted political theories & opinions… Jim Kane is the Doctor of Politics.

Buddy Nevins, Owner of Browardbeat.com