The Politics Doctor

Jim Kane is the Doctor of Politics

Read my latest articles:

  • THERE IS A BETTER AND MORE ACCURATE WAY TO PREDICT PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS THAN POLLS
    November 24, 2020 OK the polls were generally off again. They underestimated the Trump vote even after all the changes recommended by independent experts since 2016. In the last post, I showed that Trump voters were not candid about who they were voting for on election day, a form of social desirability effect. “The Return […]
  • The Return of the Shy Trump Voter!
    November 16, 2020 I’m sure you have heard or read that the Presidential Election polls screwed up again. Initially I was skeptical, of course, since 2016 almost all polling firms had made significant changes to their methodologies such as weighting voter education. But after all the studies and soul searching, whatever changes that were made […]
  • DR. POLITICS ELECTION PREDICTIONS
    November 2, 2020 Ok, tomorrow is Election Day (thank God). And with caution thrown to the wind, I will make my key state predictions. Using the latest large sample surveys that are available, and the early partisan votes to confirm my intuition. First, the basics: All surveys have must have at least 700 or more […]
  • MEET THE VOTERS WHO COULD WIN FLORIDA FOR BIDEN
    October 28, 2020 Florida has a total of 3,783,286 No Party Affiliation voters (NPA). Over a million have already voted in the Presidential Election. If you are a Democrat or a Republican you have a high probability of voting for the candidate representing that Party. But what about the NPA’s? Most folks call them independents, […]
  • IS BIDEN’S LEAD IN KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES STARTING TO SHRINK?
    October 27, 2020 This a quick update on seven key battleground states. In the chart and table below, is a one month comparison of Joe Biden’s average poll lead in these key states. POLL DATE 23-Sep 25-Oct STATE BIDEN LEAD % BIDEN LEAD % FLORIDA 1.5 -0.4 WISCONSIN 6.9 5.5 MICHIGAN 6.5 9.4 PENN 3.8 […]

“I’ve known Jim Kane for over 30 years and his political insight has always been straight on. I’ve seen him twist more information out of statistical data that is not only unique, but practical as well, and he is always ahead of the curve in political analysis.”

Jim Scott, first Republican to serve as President of the Florida Senate

“Nobody does it better or has a more critical understanding of politics than Jim Kane. His empirical analysis of politics always challenges the accepted political theories & opinions… Jim Kane is the Doctor of Politics.

Buddy Nevins, Owner of Browardbeat.com