The Politics Doctor

Jim Kane is the Doctor of Politics

Read my latest articles:

  • IS BIDEN’S LEAD IN KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES STARTING TO SHRINK?
    October 27, 2020 This a quick update on seven key battleground states. In the chart and table below, is a one month comparison of Joe Biden’s average poll lead in these key states. POLL DATE 23-Sep 25-Oct STATE BIDEN LEAD % BIDEN LEAD % FLORIDA 1.5 -0.4 WISCONSIN 6.9 5.5 MICHIGAN 6.5 9.4 PENN 3.8 […]
  • EARLY VOTING IN FLORIDA: WHO IS WINNING SO FAR?
    October 26, 2020 As expected, early voting is benefiting the Democrats. Data collected by the Elections Project (United States Elections Project) from the Florida Division of Elections shows that Democratic voters as of October 25, have a 6.4% lead over Republican voters, as shown below. Total Voted by Party Registration OCT. 25 Party Count Percent […]
  • SWING STATE JOB APPROVAL EXPERIMENT
    October 23, 2020 The impact of the incumbent’s Job Approval rating on his reelection nationally is well established. Since 1948, the beginning of modern polling, only one incumbent president, Harry Truman, has won reelection with an job approval rating less than 48%. Below is a table showing all incumbent presidents since that election with their […]
  • THE INCREDIBLE SHRINKING FLORIDA DEMOCRATIC REGISTRATION ADVANTAGE!
    October 20, 2020 I have seen some TV reporting that Republicans are outperforming Democrats in new registrations. This stimulated my interest to see if this was true in Florida and if so, what impact it might have on the Presidential Election occurring in two weeks. I have assembled Florida registration data from 1972 through 2020 […]
  • WILL A HIGHER TURNOUT HELP BIDEN WIN FLORIDA?
    October 19, 2020 Conventional wisdom has a higher turnout benefits the Democratic Party. This conclusion is mostly based on the majority party having a large population of lower social economic status (SES) voters, thus decreasing their participation rate on election day. But in a Presidential Election, the turnout rate is always higher and conceptionally, should […]

“I’ve known Jim Kane for over 30 years and his political insight has always been straight on. I’ve seen him twist more information out of statistical data that is not only unique, but practical as well, and he is always ahead of the curve in political analysis.”

Jim Scott, first Republican to serve as President of the Florida Senate

“Nobody does it better or has a more critical understanding of politics than Jim Kane. His empirical analysis of politics always challenges the accepted political theories & opinions… Jim Kane is the Doctor of Politics.

Buddy Nevins, Owner of Browardbeat.com