April 14, 2020 With the economy tanking and the coronavirus’ deaths rising, some insiders are beginning to wonder if President Trump’s reelection chances are declining. The Tampa Bay Times recently polled a 160 political insiders and 80% said the Coronavirus has hurt Trump’s chances for another four years in the White House. To be candid,…… Continue reading Has the Coronavirus Hurt Donald Trump’s Reelection Chances?
April 13, 2020 Mark this date down on your calendar, it’s the day we started toward normality. Our latest model shows that Florida has peaked and begun the long trek downward to no new virus cases, as shown in Chart 1 below. Chart 1 Notice at just past the peak of the curve (red line)…… Continue reading We are headed down the Curve!
April 11, 2020 After stalling at the top, Florida’s new Covid-19 cases looks like it’s starting a slight downward slope. The Chart below shows our polynomial trend line still bending downward as new data fills in behind it. We should see more confirmation in the next few days. But for now, our model continues to…… Continue reading Florida New Cases Beginning the Curve?
Friday April 11, 2020 Today’s Florida coronavirus model strongly suggests the state has reached or nearly reached the peak of the virus epidemic, as shown in Chart 1 below. Chart 1 Over the last few days, new Florida Covid cases have clustered at the top of the trend line (red) of our exclusive polynomial model…… Continue reading Florida Has likely Peaked
If you are political junkie, I’m sure that you are aware of the regular differences between most pollsters and the Rasmussen Reports Surveys. As an example, during the first two and half months of this year, Rasmussen’s average daily Trump job approval rating was nearly five points higher than the average of all other polls…… Continue reading What’s up with RASMUSSEN’S Recent Polls?
Thursday April 9, 2020 The latest Florida new cases data (April 8) continues to show a curve downward, as shown in Graph 1 below. Graph 1: Florida New Covid Cases Trend The daily change is not significant but is still encouraging. Just as a recap, this graph is created by using a polynomial regression method…… Continue reading FLORIDA’S NEW COVID CASE’S CURVE CONTINUES
April 8, 2020 Just added new data to the Curve polynomial regression model and the trend toward a curve continues, as shown in Chart 1 below. Chart 1: Florida New Virus Cases The red trend line is starting to bend, but at this point I wouldn’t send out those “After Coronavirus Party”invitations just yet. This…… Continue reading UPDATE ON THE CURVE
In a recent post, I explained the difference between a linear graph for non linear data and why it does not reflect the nuances shown in a non-linear (polynomial) model. In this post I will update the latest data (as of April 6) and see if the we can finally see a light at the…… Continue reading THE CURVE IS THE WORD… ARE WE THERE YET?
Infectious disease experts claim that Covid-19 infections will eventually peak, flatten and decline. Some of you are probably sitting home in your underwear (I can’t, I have kids at home) watching TV news or on your computer regularly checking the latest charts to see if you can spot that moment when the curve begins to…… Continue reading WAITING FOR THE CURVE…
About 10 days ago I posted an article on whether the Coronavirus could effect his job approval ratings ( Coronavirus vs. Donald Trump: Will it Help or Hurt His Reelection? ). The early conclusion was that it neither hurt nor helped his public popularity. I now have another ten days of data to see if…… Continue reading TRUMP VS THE COVID-19 VIRUS: DOES IT HURT OR HELP HIS U.S. JOB APPROVAL NUMBERS? UPDATE POST