April 17, 2020 The virus is trying to stay alive, but the direction is still downward, as pictured in the model graph below. Yesterday’s number of new cases spiked to 1200 from the previous day’s 941 cases, a 27% increase in one day, but the overall model’s trajectory continues to point a slow downward movement.…… Continue reading Florida Covid-19 New Cases Slowly Moves Downward
Author: Jim Kane
Jim Kane is a pollster and media advisor, and was for fifteen years an Adjunct Professor of Political Science at the University of Florida.
Kane is founder of the polling firm USAPoll and served as the Director of the Florida Voter Poll. His political clients have included both Republican and Democratic candidates, including the Republican Party of Florida, and both the Sun-Sentinel and Orlando Sentinel newspapers.
At the University of Florida, Professor Kane taught graduate level courses in political science on Survey Research, Lobbying and Special Interest Groups in America, Political Campaigning, and Political Behavior.
In addition to his professional and academic career, Jim Kane has been actively involved in local and state policy decisions. He was elected to the Broward County Soil and Water Conservation Board (1978-1982) and the Port Everglades Authority (1988-1994).
Kane also served as an appointed member of the Broward County Planning Council (1995-2003), Broward County Management Review Committee (Chair, 1990-1991), Broward County Consumer Protection Board (1976-1982), and the Broward County School Board Consultants Review Committee (1986-1990).
Florida Continues its Curve Downward
April 15, 2010 The number of new Florida Covid-19 cases continue to decline as our model below shows. Data as of April 14 Yesterday’s new cases made a significant drop from 1002 to 614, or a 63% decline in one day. Unfortunately, the daily number new deaths are continuing to more upward, from 524 to…… Continue reading Florida Continues its Curve Downward
Has the Coronavirus Hurt Donald Trump’s Reelection Chances?
April 14, 2020 With the economy tanking and the coronavirus’ deaths rising, some insiders are beginning to wonder if President Trump’s reelection chances are declining. The Tampa Bay Times recently polled a 160 political insiders and 80% said the Coronavirus has hurt Trump’s chances for another four years in the White House. To be candid,…… Continue reading Has the Coronavirus Hurt Donald Trump’s Reelection Chances?
We are headed down the Curve!
April 13, 2020 Mark this date down on your calendar, it’s the day we started toward normality. Our latest model shows that Florida has peaked and begun the long trek downward to no new virus cases, as shown in Chart 1 below. Chart 1 Notice at just past the peak of the curve (red line)…… Continue reading We are headed down the Curve!
Florida New Cases Beginning the Curve?
April 11, 2020 After stalling at the top, Florida’s new Covid-19 cases looks like it’s starting a slight downward slope. The Chart below shows our polynomial trend line still bending downward as new data fills in behind it. We should see more confirmation in the next few days. But for now, our model continues to…… Continue reading Florida New Cases Beginning the Curve?
Florida Has likely Peaked
Friday April 11, 2020 Today’s Florida coronavirus model strongly suggests the state has reached or nearly reached the peak of the virus epidemic, as shown in Chart 1 below. Chart 1 Over the last few days, new Florida Covid cases have clustered at the top of the trend line (red) of our exclusive polynomial model…… Continue reading Florida Has likely Peaked
What’s up with RASMUSSEN’S Recent Polls?
If you are political junkie, I’m sure that you are aware of the regular differences between most pollsters and the Rasmussen Reports Surveys. As an example, during the first two and half months of this year, Rasmussen’s average daily Trump job approval rating was nearly five points higher than the average of all other polls…… Continue reading What’s up with RASMUSSEN’S Recent Polls?
FLORIDA’S NEW COVID CASE’S CURVE CONTINUES
Thursday April 9, 2020 The latest Florida new cases data (April 8) continues to show a curve downward, as shown in Graph 1 below. Graph 1: Florida New Covid Cases Trend The daily change is not significant but is still encouraging. Just as a recap, this graph is created by using a polynomial regression method…… Continue reading FLORIDA’S NEW COVID CASE’S CURVE CONTINUES
UPDATE ON THE CURVE
April 8, 2020 Just added new data to the Curve polynomial regression model and the trend toward a curve continues, as shown in Chart 1 below. Chart 1: Florida New Virus Cases The red trend line is starting to bend, but at this point I wouldn’t send out those “After Coronavirus Party”invitations just yet. This…… Continue reading UPDATE ON THE CURVE
THE CURVE IS THE WORD… ARE WE THERE YET?
In a recent post, I explained the difference between a linear graph for non linear data and why it does not reflect the nuances shown in a non-linear (polynomial) model. In this post I will update the latest data (as of April 6) and see if the we can finally see a light at the…… Continue reading THE CURVE IS THE WORD… ARE WE THERE YET?