October 7, 2020 Sine the 1960’s, political scientists have concluded that partisanship is acquired mainly through socialization and predominately from our parents. By the time of early adulthood, most people’s political beliefs have hardened. That doesn’t mean some people can’t change later in life, but it is more the exception than the rule. A recent…… Continue reading Party Identification and Personal Identity
October 3 2020 [With the President testing positive for Covid-19 and his current hospitalization, we will follow future polls in the next week to see if any significant changes have occurred. Stay tuned…]] In 2016, when most pollsters called the election for Hillary Clinton, one little-known pollster called it right. That’s the Trafalgar Group located…… Continue reading How the 2016 Most Accurate Pollster Sees this Election.
September28, 2020 With the confirmation hearings of Amy Coney Barrett as a Supreme Court Justice about to begin in October, the abortion rights debate is likely move to center stage. In a Pew Research survey conducted on August 4, 2019, showed that 61% of registered voters agreed with “abortion should be legal in all/most circumstances.”…… Continue reading WILL THE ABORTION DEBATE HELP or Hurt JOE BIDEN?
September 25, 2020 With the passing of Ruth Bader Ginsberg, Donald Trump has promised to fill her vacancy prior the end of his term. And the Republican Senate has decided to accommodate him with a vote on his nominee, even though they took the opposite position when Obama was in his final term. As Yogi…… Continue reading DOES AMERICA STILL HAVE CONFIDENCE IN THE SUPREME COURT?
September 23, 2020 We are at 40 days until the Presidential Election and the polls should become more accurate. Almost all public surveys are now using likely voter samples, which will give Trump a slight bump from the all voters samples as I have pointed out previously. (http://thepoliticsdr.com/wp-admin/post.php?post=1517&action=edit). There have been a flurry of new…… Continue reading It’s Getting Closer!
September 21, 2020 In search for interesting data about voters, I found a series of survey questions attempting to measure how voters feel about the country today. Buried within a July, 2020 national survey of 3080 interviews with US voters conducted by the University of Michigan and Stanford University under the American National Election Studies…… Continue reading How the George Floyd Killing and the Covid-19 Pandemic affected the American Voter
September 18. 2020 America is again facing another period of racial tensions brought on by the killing of George Floyd and the continued prejudice against blacks around the country. These recent events begs the question as to whether whites have changed their attitudes toward black Americans over the past several years, or are their attitudes…… Continue reading RACE AND THE WHITE AMERICAN VOTER
September 14, 2020 Opinions on no other social issue has changed more in the last 45 years than gay and lesbian sexual relationships. In 1973, only 11% of all voters agreed that same-sex adults having sexual relationships was not wrong. In 2018, that number grew to 58%, as shown in the chart below. IT IS…… Continue reading HOW AMERICAN VOTERS HAVE CHANGED ON SAME SEX RELATIONSHIPS
August 11, 2020 In a recent post (://thepoliticsdr.com/2020/09/06/forget-the-national-polls-these-are-the-states-you-need-to-watch/), I outlined how Trump can win the Presidency while still losing the national popular vote. In my humble opinion, Trump will not win the popular vote again. That leaves his path back to the White House through the battleground states, in particular Florida, Pennsylvania and Michigan, which…… Continue reading THE SEVEN STATES THAT WILL DECIDE THE ELECTION PART 2
September 10, 2020 Religion has been a part of politics and campaigns since George Washington ran for the Presidency. No candidate has ever run as an atheist and many political pundits said Kennedy couldn’t win the White House as a Catholic. And let’s not forget Jewish candidates. None have run for President, but Joe Lieberman…… Continue reading WHO ARE MORE RELIGIOUS, REPUBLICANS OR DEMOCRATS?