Since the mid-20th century, Wisconsin has had a reputation for leaning toward Democratic presidential candidates. Since 1984, when Ronald Reagan won every state but Minnesota, the state has voted Democratic until Donald Trump’s 2016 victory over Hillary Clinton by less than .8%. But the Democratic advantage at the Federal level, is starting to show it’s…… Continue reading Can Biden win back Wisconsin?
Author: Jim Kane
Jim Kane is a pollster and media advisor, and was for fifteen years an Adjunct Professor of Political Science at the University of Florida.
Kane is founder of the polling firm USAPoll and served as the Director of the Florida Voter Poll. His political clients have included both Republican and Democratic candidates, including the Republican Party of Florida, and both the Sun-Sentinel and Orlando Sentinel newspapers.
At the University of Florida, Professor Kane taught graduate level courses in political science on Survey Research, Lobbying and Special Interest Groups in America, Political Campaigning, and Political Behavior.
In addition to his professional and academic career, Jim Kane has been actively involved in local and state policy decisions. He was elected to the Broward County Soil and Water Conservation Board (1978-1982) and the Port Everglades Authority (1988-1994).
Kane also served as an appointed member of the Broward County Planning Council (1995-2003), Broward County Management Review Committee (Chair, 1990-1991), Broward County Consumer Protection Board (1976-1982), and the Broward County School Board Consultants Review Committee (1986-1990).
The Battle for the Big Four: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Florida
We have about six months before the nation faces one of the most consequential elections since the Great Depression. With a country politically polarized, an pandemic killing thousands of Americans, and an economy on the brink of collapse, this election will decide how the nation will face this crisis over the next four years. “All…… Continue reading The Battle for the Big Four: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Florida
US and Florida New Covid-19 Cases and Deaths Update
May 5, 2020 Below are the latest models for both the US and Florida. With many states opening up and reducing social distancing guidelines, many experts worry that the number of new cases (and eventually deaths) will rise or even spike. But for now, the impact of these changes have had no effect on our…… Continue reading US and Florida New Covid-19 Cases and Deaths Update
Florida Covid-19 Testing Part 2
May, 1, 2020 In three days, Florida will reduce certain restrictions, such allowing restaurants and retail stores to open up as long as they meet certain social-distancing requirements. Three counties, however, are excluded from these new rules: Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade counties. In the scheme of things, these new “freedoms” are quite modest compared…… Continue reading Florida Covid-19 Testing Part 2
Is There a Difference Between Likely Voter, Registered Voter and All Adult Polls?
April 30, 2020 As pollster for more than 30 years, one of the more common questions I get is whether there is a difference between “likely voter” and other types of polls? Many public and private polling firms use a series of qualifying likely voter questions such as the Perry-Gallup method which asks a series…… Continue reading Is There a Difference Between Likely Voter, Registered Voter and All Adult Polls?
Today’s Covid-19 Model Graph’s
April 28, 2020 We are now into 56 days of the first reported Covid-19 infections and we are still on the down side of the curve in both Florida and the nation. The Florida model has recently slowed down and in the last three days, two had higher cases and one lower. The stall was…… Continue reading Today’s Covid-19 Model Graph’s
Testing Testing Testing and How is Florida Doing?
If you watch the news lately (and what else do you have to do?), you probably have heard the next hurdle the country faces is conducting more Covid-19 tests. More testing helps identify people with the virus, including asymptomatic individuals walking around out there who don’t know their contagious. You know, the guy sitting next…… Continue reading Testing Testing Testing and How is Florida Doing?
Good News Governor DeSantis says we have “Flattened the Curve”
It’s obvious the Governor doesn’t follow this blog, otherwise he would have discovered that Florida’s curve had already flattened on April 13th. It’s probably just as well, since he may have wanted to open up Florida back on April 13th. This state will not be safe to open until we have eliminated the Covid-19 new…… Continue reading Good News Governor DeSantis says we have “Flattened the Curve”
The Incredible Shrinking Biden Lead?
You probably noticed that we don’t see that much of Joe Biden since the U.S. virus epidemic. And you have almost certainly seen Donald Trump every afternoon for his so-called Covid-19 virus task force briefing. I have already shown that the recent Covid virus epidemic in the Nation has had no effect on Trump’s Job…… Continue reading The Incredible Shrinking Biden Lead?
Todays Daily Covid-19 Models
April 20, 2020 Our latest Florida Covid-19 model continues its predicted downward trend for new cases. Data near the top looks a little messy, but that suggests that near the peak the daily number of new cases goes up and down as it adjusts to model’s expected path. For the last three days the number…… Continue reading Todays Daily Covid-19 Models